Last checked: 2026-07-03T08:54:11.326069+00:00
Avoid
Current operating regime. The bot stays quiet unless the signal is unusually strong and source coverage is good enough.
Bottom Score
44.55
Confidencelow
Should alertFalse
Alert reasoninsufficient social texts: 0 < 5; insufficient publication texts: 2 < 5; reddit collector error: HTTP Error 403: Blocked; regime is avoid, not bottom_likely
Component Scores
Cycle Structure33.00
Market Capitulation27.00
Publication Quality78.75
Social Capitulation45.00
Live Collector Counts
Price Points366
Publication Texts2
Social Texts0
Alert Suppression
- insufficient social texts: 0 < 5
- insufficient publication texts: 2 < 5
- reddit collector error: HTTP Error 403: Blocked
- regime is avoid, not bottom_likely
Reasoning Signals
Cycle
- halving-cycle timing is consistent with prior bear-market lows
Market
- volatility has compressed after the selloff
Publication
- publications skew toward practical/useful work
- mainstream coverage is dismissive or bored
- hype publications are scarce
Social
- social activity is in the bottom 15% of the past year
- hype language is washed out
Historical Data & Backtests
| Market Windows Yahoo | {
"items": 0,
"windows": 0
} |
|---|---|
| Google News Rss Archive | {
"items": 62,
"windows": 6
} |
| Canonical Mapping Template | {
"entries": 62
} |
| Canonical Suggestions Bing | {
"entries_considered": 62,
"entries_with_plausible_suggestions": 0,
"entries_with_suggestions": 62,
"plausible_score_threshold": 0.8
} |
| Archive Derived Backtest | {
"false_negatives": 4,
"false_positives": 0,
"precision": 0.0,
"recall": 0.0,
"total_cases": 6,
"true_negatives": 2,
"true_positives": 0
} |
Cron / Deployment
| Name | Bitcoin bottom signal monitor |
|---|---|
| Job Id | 1ea007ef4169 |
| Schedule Utc | 30 7 * * * |
| Script | /home/lunafox/.hermes/profiles/jobs/scripts/btc_bottom_monitor.sh |
| Delivery | origin chat, silent unless alert text is emitted |
Project
| Repo | https://github.com/alienfrenZyNo1/btc-bottom-signal |
|---|---|
| Purpose | Rare, high-confidence Bitcoin bottom alerts before long bull runs. |
| Not Financial Advice | True |
| Repo Commit | bc91b42 |
| Dashboard Generated | 2026-07-03T09:10:17.289888+00:00 |